Epidemiological and molecular surveillance of norovirus in the Brazilian Amazon: description of recombinant genotypes and improvement of evolutionary analysis.

Noroviruses are highly infectious, genetically diverse viruses. Global outbreaks occur frequently, making molecular surveillance important for infection monitoring. This cross-sectional descriptive study aimed to monitor cases of norovirus gastroenteritis in the Brazilian Amazon. Fecal samples were tested by immunoenzymatic assay, RT-PCR and genetic sequencing for the ORF1/ORF2 and protease regions. Bayesian inference with a molecular clock was employed to construct the phylogeny. The norovirus prevalence was 25.8%, with a higher positivity rate among children aged 0-24 months. Genogroup GII accounted for 98.1% of the sequenced samples, while GI accounted for 1.9% of them. The GII.P16/GII.4 genotype was the most prevalent, with an evolution rate of 2.87x10-3 and TMRCA estimated in 2012. This study demonstrates that norovirus is a primary causative agent of gastroenteritis and provides data on viral genetic diversity that may facilitate infection surveillance and vaccine development.

First Detection of Benign Rabbit Caliciviruses in Chile.

Pathogenic lagoviruses (Rabbit hemorrhagic disease virus, RHDV) are widely spread across the world and are used in Australia and New Zealand to control populations of feral European rabbits. The spread of the non-pathogenic lagoviruses, e.g., rabbit calicivirus (RCV), is less well studied as the infection results in no clinical signs. Nonetheless, RCV has important implications for the spread of RHDV and rabbit biocontrol as it can provide varying levels of cross-protection against fatal infection with pathogenic lagoviruses. In Chile, where European rabbits are also an introduced species, myxoma virus was used for localised biocontrol of rabbits in the 1950s. To date, there have been no studies investigating the presence of lagoviruses in the Chilean feral rabbit population. In this study, liver and duodenum rabbit samples from central Chile were tested for the presence of lagoviruses and positive samples were subject to whole RNA sequencing and subsequent data analysis. Phylogenetic analysis revealed a novel RCV variant in duodenal samples that likely originated from European RCVs. Sequencing analysis also detected the presence of a rabbit astrovirus in one of the lagovirus-positive samples.

Asymptomatic Enteric Virus Infections and Association with the Gut Microbiome in Rural Residents of Northern Laos.

Viral gastrointestinal infections are an important public health concern, and the occurrence of asymptomatic enteric virus infections makes it difficult to prevent and control their spread. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of and factors associated with asymptomatic enteric virus infection in adults in northern Laos. Fecal samples were collected from apparently healthy participants who did not report diarrhea or high fever at the time of the survey in northern Laos, and enteric viruses were detected using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and reverse transcription (RT)-PCR. Individual characteristics, including the gut microbiome, were compared between asymptomatic carriers and noncarriers of each enteric virus. Of the participants (N = 255), 12 (4.7%) were positive for norovirus genogroup I (GI), 8 (3.1%) for human adenovirus, and 1 (0.4%) for norovirus GII; prevalence tended to be higher in less-modernized villages. Gut microbial diversity (evaluated by the number of operational taxonomic units) was higher in asymptomatic carriers of norovirus GI or human adenovirus than in their noncarriers. Gut microbiome compositions differed significantly between asymptomatic carriers and noncarriers of norovirus GI or human adenovirus (permutational analysis of variance, P <0.05). These findings imply an association between asymptomatic enteric virus infection and modernization and/or the gut microbiome in northern Laos.

Molecular epidemiology and phylogenetic analysis of feline calicivirus in Kunshan, China.

Feline calicivirus (FCV) is a highly contagious virus in cats, which typically causes respiratory tract and oral infections. Despite vaccination against FCV being a regular practice in China, new FCV cases still occur. Antigenic diversity of FCV hinders the effective control by vaccination. This is first report which aims to investigate the molecular epidemiology and molecular characteristics of FCV in Kunshan, China. The nasopharyngeal swabs were collected from cats showing variable clinical signs from different animal clinics in Kunshan from 2022 to 2023. Preliminary detection and sequencing of the FCV capsid gene were performed to study genetic diversity and evolutionary characteristics. FCV-RNA was identified in 52 (26%) of the samples using RT-PCR. A significant association was found between FCV-positive detection rate, age, gender, vaccination status and living environment, while a non-significant association was found with breed of cats. Nucleotide analysis revealed two genotypes, GI and GII. GII predominated in Kunshan, with diverse strains and amino acid variations potentially affecting vaccination efficacy and FCV detection. Notably, analysis pinpointed certain strains' association with FCV-virulent systemic disease pathotypes. This investigation sheds light on FCV dynamics, which may aid in developing better prevention strategies and future vaccine designs against circulating FCV genotypes.

Recombination between non-structural and structural genes as a mechanism of selection in lagoviruses: The evolutionary dead-end of an RHDV2 isolated from European hare.

The genus Lagovirus, belonging to the family Caliciviridae, emerged around the 1980s. It includes highly pathogenic species, rabbit hemorrhagic disease virus (RHDV/GI.1) and European brown hare syndrome virus (EBHSV/GII.1), which cause fatal hepatitis, and nonpathogenic viruses with enteric tropism, rabbit calicivirus (RCV/GI.3,4) and hare calicivirus (HaCV/GII.2). Lagoviruses have evolved along two independent genetic lineages: GI (RHDV and RCV) in rabbits and GII (EBHSV and HaCV) in hares. To be emphasized is that genomes of lagoviruses, like other caliciviruses, are highly conserved at RdRp-VP60 junctions, favoring intergenotypic recombination events at this point. The recombination between an RCV (genotype GI.3), donor of non-structural (NS) genes, and an unknown virus, donor of structural (S) genes, likely led to the emergence of a new lagovirus in the European rabbit, called RHDV type 2 (GI.2), identified in Europe in 2010. New RHDV2 intergenotypic recombinants isolated in rabbits in Europe and Australia originated from similar events between RHDV2 (GI.2) and RHDV (GI.1) or RCV (GI.3,4). RHDV2 (GI.2) rapidly spread worldwide, replacing RHDV and showing several lagomorph species as secondary hosts. The recombination events in RHDV2 viruses have led to a number of viruses with very different combinations of NS and S genes. Recombinant RHDV2 with NS genes from hare lineage (GII) was recently identified in the European hare. This study investigated the first RHDV2 (GI.2) identified in Italy in European hare (RHDV2_Bg12), demonstrating that it was a new virus that originated from the recombination between RHDV2, as an S-gene donor and a hare lagovirus, not yet identified but presumably nonpathogenic, as an NS gene donor. When rabbits were inoculated with RHDV2_Bg12, neither deaths nor seroconversions were recorded, demonstrating that RHDV2_Bg12 cannot infect the rabbit. Furthermore, despite intensive and continuous field surveillance, RHDV2_Bg12 has never again been identified in either hares or rabbits in Italy or elsewhere. This result showed that the host specificity of lagoviruses can depend not only on S genes, as expected until today, but potentially also on some species-specific NS gene sequences. Therefore, because RHDV2 (GI.2) infects several lagomorphs, which in turn probably harbor several specific nonpathogenic lagoviruses, the possibility of new speciation, especially in those other than rabbits, is real. RHDV2 Bg_12 demonstrated this, although the attempt apparently failed.

Bayesian evaluation of temporal changes in sensitivity and specificity of three serological tests for multiple circulating strains of rabbit haemorrhagic disease virus.

Competition and indirect ELISAs are currently being used to monitor rabbit haemorrhagic disease viruses (RHDV1 and RHDV2) in rabbits worldwide. Temporal changes in the sensitivity (Se) and specificity (Sp) of RHDV1 competition-ELISA (cELISA1), RHDV2 competition-ELISA (cELISA2), and RHDV1 Immunoglobulin G (IgG1) ELISA, were investigated using Bayesian Latent Class models (BCLM) in the Australian wild rabbit population where both viruses circulate simultaneously and a long-term serological dataset exists. When cELISA1 was compared to IgG1 ELISA, the Se of cELISA1 improved while the Sp of IgG1 ELISA declined over the 2011-21. This corresponded with a decline in the true RHDV1 prevalence in 2018-21, suggesting that a large proportion of RHDV1 exposed rabbits survived the introduction and dominance of RHDV2 up to approximately 2017/2018, after which they died and were not replaced. The Se and Sp estimates for 2014-15 for both cELISA1 and IgG1 ELISA, and the true prevalence when analysing all three tests together were similar to those obtained from the analysis of cELISA1/IgG1 ELISA. The same was also true for the Se and Sp of cELISA2 and IgG1 ELISA estimates from 2018 onwards. This suggests that RHDV1 was the dominant infection type in 2014-15, but RHDV2 was the dominant infection type in 2018-21. Further, the increase in Se of cELISA2 and the low Sp of IgG1 ELISA in the cELISA2/IgG1 ELISA analysis, compared to the Se of cELISA2 and Sp of IgG1 ELISA when analysing all three tests together suggests that the underlying infection status was more influenced by RHDV2 and that the higher Se of IgG1 ELISA is due to cross-reaction of RHDV2 antibodies on IgG1 ELISA. The true prevalence data suggest that RHDV2 exposure peaked in 2017. Our findings show that test characteristics changed in response to the changing virus prevalences over time. IgG1 ELISA, currently having a high Se, should be used to monitor both viruses and will perform better than both cELISAs.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on norovirus circulation in Germany.

Human norovirus is a major cause of viral gastroenteritis in all age groups. The virus is constantly and rapidly changing, allowing mutations and recombination events to create great diversity of circulating viruses. With the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, a wide range of public health measures were introduced worldwide to control human-to-human transmission of SARS-CoV-2. In Germany, control measures such as distance rules, contact restrictions, personal protection equipment as well as intensive hand hygiene were introduced. To better understand the effect of the measures to control the COVID-19 pandemic on incidence and the molecular epidemiological dynamics of norovirus outbreaks in Germany, we analyzed national notification data between July 2017 and December 2022 and characterized norovirus sequences circulating between January 2018 and December 2022. Compared to a reference period before the pandemic, the incidence of notified norovirus gastroenteritis decreased by 89.7% to 9.6 per 100,000 during the 2020/2021 norovirus season, corresponding to an incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 0.10. Samples from 539 outbreaks were genotyped in two regions of the viral genome from pre-pandemic (January 2018 to February 2020) and samples from 208 outbreaks during pandemic time period (March 2020 to December 2022). As expected, norovirus outbreaks were mainly found in child care facilities and nursing homes. In total, 36 genotypes were detected in the study period. A high proportion of recombinant strains (86%) was found in patients, the proportion of detected recombinant viruses did not vary between the pre-pandemic and pandemic phase. The proportion of the predominant recombinant strain GII.4 Sydney[P16] was unchanged before pandemic and during pandemic at 37.5%. The diversity of most common genotypes in nursing homes and child care facilities showed a different proportion of genotypes causing outbreaks. In nursing homes as well as in child care facilities GII.4 Sydney[P16] was predominant during the whole study period. Compared to the nursing homes, a greater variety of genotypes at the expense of GII.4 Sydney[P16] was detected in child care facilities. Furthermore, the overall proportion of recombinant strain GII.3[P12] increased during the pandemic, due to outbreaks in child care facilities. The COVID-19 pandemic had a high impact on the occurrence of sporadic cases and norovirus outbreaks in Germany, leading to a near suppression of the typical norovirus winter season following the start of the pandemic. The number of norovirus-associated outbreak samples sent to the Consultant Laboratory dropped by 63% during the pandemic. We could not identify a clear influence on circulating norovirus genotypes. The dominance of GII.4 Sydney recombinant strains was independent from the pandemic. Further studies are needed to follow up on the diversity of less predominant genotypes to see if the pandemic could have acted as a bottleneck to the spread of previously minoritized genotypes like GII.3[P12].

Genetic recombination and genotype diversity of norovirus GI in children with acute gastroenteritis in Thailand, 2015-2021.

BACKGROUND: Human norovirus is a predominant etiological agent responsible for acute gastroenteritis across all age groups. Recently, norovirus recombinant strains have been reported as the cause of norovirus outbreaks in several settings and the strains that cause outbreaks mostly belong to the norovirus GII. However, yet, the norovirus GI recombinant strains have never been reported previously in Thailand. The aims of this study were to investigate the genetic recombination and genotype diversity of norovirus GI strains in children hospitalized with acute gastroenteritis in Chiang Mai, Thailand during a period of seven years from 2015 to 2021. METHODS: A total of 2829 stool specimens were screened for norovirus GI by real-time PCR, and the polymerase and capsid genes were sequenced and analyzed. RESULTS: Of 2829 specimens tested, 12 (0.4%) were positive for norovirus GI. Of these, 7 out of 12 (58.3%) strains were identified as norovirus GI recombinant strains. Among 7 norovirus GI recombinant strains, 3, 3, and 1 were identified as GI.3[P13], GI.5[P4], and GI.6[P11], respectively. The remaining five strains were identified as non-recombinant strains of the GI.4[P4], GI.5[P5], and GI.6[P6] genotypes. CONCLUSIONS: The findings highlight the genetic diversity and multiple intergenotype recombinant strains of norovirus GI circulating in children with acute gastroenteritis in Chiang Mai, Thailand from 2015 to 2021. The detection of multiple intergenotype norovirus GI recombinant strains further underscore the complexity of norovirus GI strains circulating in this region.

Transmission Patterns of Norovirus From Infected Children to Household Members in León, Nicaragua.

Norovirus is a common and highly transmissible gastrointestinal pathogen. Among 34 Nicaraguan households with a norovirus-infected child, 48% experienced norovirus transmission within 1 week, infecting 18% of household members; GII norovirus was more commonly transmitted than GI. Pediatric norovirus vaccines could prevent both index cases and transmission to close contacts.

Using molecular methods to delineate norovirus outbreaks: a systematic review.

Noroviruses are among the major causative agents of human acute gastroenteritis, and the nature of norovirus outbreaks can differ considerably. The number of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) between strains is used to assess their relationships. There is currently no universally accepted cutoff value for clustering strains that define an outbreak or linking the individuals involved. This study was conducted to estimate the threshold value of genomic variations among related strains within norovirus outbreaks. We carried out a literature search in the PubMed and Web of Science databases. SNP rates were defined as the number of SNPs/sequence length (bp) × 100%. The Mann-Whitney U-test was used in comparisons of the distribution of SNP rates for different sequence regions, genogroups (GI and GII), transmission routes, and sequencing methods. A total of 25 articles reporting on 108 norovirus outbreaks were included. In 99.1% of the outbreaks, the SNP rates were below 0.50%, and in 89.8%, the SNP rates were under 0.20%. Outbreak strains showed higher SNP rates when the P2 domain was used for sequence analysis (Z = -2.652, p = 0.008) and when an NGS method was used (Z = -3.686, p < 0.001). Outbreaks caused by different norovirus genotypes showed no significant difference in SNP rates. Compared with person-to-person outbreaks, SNP rates were lower in common-source outbreaks, but no significant difference was found when differences in sequencing methods were taken into consideraton. SNP rates under 0.20% and 0.50% could be considered as the rigorous and relaxed threshold, respectively, of strain similarity within a norovirus outbreak. More data are needed to evaluate differences within and between various norovirus outbreaks.

Asymptomatic norovirus infection during outbreaks in China: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Acute gastroenteritis outbreaks may be caused by the excretion of norovirus (NoV) from asymptomatic individuals. Despite numerous studies involving asymptomatic NoV infection during outbreaks in China, a comprehensive assessment of its role has not been conducted, which is critical for emergency management. Our objective was to assess the prevalence of asymptomatic NoV infection during outbreaks in China. We conducted a comprehensive search of multiple databases, including PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, China Wanfang, and China Weipu, between January 1, 1997 and June 19, 2023. The retrieved articles and their references underwent screening, which utilized polymerase chain reaction-based assays for the detection of NoV in asymptomatic individuals during outbreaks that occurred in China. The primary summary data were the prevalence of asymptomatic NoV infection in outbreaks. We generated pooled estimates of asymptomatic prevalence in the population as a whole and in subgroups by using random-effect models. Of the 97 articles included, the pooled asymptomatic prevalence of NoV among 5117 individuals in outbreaks was 17.6% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 14.1-21.3). The asymptomatic prevalence of NoV GII (17.1%, 95% CI: 12.9-21.5) was similar to that of NoV GI (22.0%, 95% CI: 12.8-32.4). However, the proportion of asymptomatic individuals involved in NoV GII (57.44%) was significantly higher than that of NoV GI (5.12%), and NoV GII (75.26%) was reported much more frequently than NoV GI (14.43%) in the included articles. Meta-regression analysis of 11 possible influencing factors (geographic region, setting, season, sample type, genotype, transmission route, occupation, age, per capita income, study quality, and cases definition) showed that the source of heterogeneity might be related to the outbreak settings, per capita income, and study quality (p = 0.037, 0.058, and 0.026, respectively). Of particular note was the asymptomatic prevalence peaked in preschoolers (27.8%), afterward, it fell into trough in elementary and junior school children (10.5%), before the second peak located in adults (17.8%), and the elderly (25.2%). Prevalent genotypes reported include GII.4, followed by GII.17, GII.2, GII.3, GII.6, and so forth. The estimated asymptomatic prevalence of NoV during outbreaks in China was as high as 17.6%, with NoV GII dominating. In addition, genetic subtypes of NoV in outbreaks should be detected whenever possible. The role of asymptomatic individuals in NoV outbreaks cannot be ignored. This knowledge will help governments develop public health policies and emergency response strategies for outbreaks, assess the burden, and develop vaccines.

An unusual diarrheal outbreak in the community in Eastern Thailand caused by Norovirus GII.3[P25].

BACKGROUND: Sentinel laboratory surveillance for diarrheal disease determined norovirus to be the most common cause of non-bacterial gastroenteritis in people during the COVID-19 pandemic in Thailand. An increase in patients presenting with diarrhea and vomiting in hospitals across Chanthaburi province between December 2021 and January 2022 led to the need for the identification of viral pathogens that may be responsible for the outbreak. METHODS: Fecal samples (rectal swabs or stool) from 93 patients, of which 65 patients were collected during the December 2021 to January 2022 outbreak, were collected and screened for viral infection by real-time RT-PCR. Positive samples for norovirus GII were then genotyped by targeted amplification and sequencing of partial polymerase and capsid genes. Full genome sequencing was performed from the predominant strain, GII.3[P25]. RESULTS: Norovirus was the most common virus detected in human fecal samples in this study. 39 of 65 outbreak samples (60%) and 3 of 28 (10%) non-outbreak samples were positive for norovirus genogroup II. One was positive for rotavirus, and one indicated co-infection with rotavirus and norovirus genogroups I and II. Nucleotide sequences of VP1 and RdRp gene were successfully obtained from 28 of 39 positive norovirus GII and used for dual-typing; 25/28 (89.3%) were GII.3, and 24/28 (85.7) were GII.P25, respectively. Norovirus GII.3[P25] was the predominant strain responsible for this outbreak. The full genome sequence of norovirus GII.3[P25] from our study is the first reported in Thailand and has 98.62% and 98.57% similarity to norovirus found in China in 2021 and the USA in 2022, respectively. We further demonstrate the presence of multiple co-circulating norovirus genotypes, including GII.21[P21], GII.17[P17], GII.3[P12] and GII.4[P31] in our study. CONCLUSIONS: An unusual diarrhea outbreak was found in December 2021 in eastern Thailand. Norovirus strain GII.3[P25] was the cause of the outbreak and was first detected in Thailand. The positive rate during GII.3[P25] outbreak was six times higher than sporadic cases (GII.4), and, atypically, adults were the primary infected population rather than children.

Prevalence, Clinical Features, and Genotypes of Norovirus-Associated Diarrhea in Wuxi, China, 2013-2020.

Norovirus (NoV) is a common pathogen that can cause infectious diarrhea. This study aimed to determine the prevalence, clinical features, and genotypes of NoV-associated diarrhea in Wuxi, China. A total of 4,416 stool samples were collected from patients with diarrhea at enteric disease clinics of sentinel hospitals in Wuxi from February 1, 2013 to December 31, 2020. Univariate and Akaike information criterion stepwise logistic regression were used to identify differences as integrated within a clinical setting (NoV positive [+] versus NoV negative [-], NoV+ versus rotavirus [RV]+, NoV+ versus bacteria+, genogroup [G] I and GII genotypes). Norovirus was detected in 9.85% of stool samples, which was greater than other tested pathogens. Excluding coinfection of NoV and other viruses or bacteria, patients infected with NoV had a lower chance of acquiring the virus in summer (P < 0.001; odds ratio [OR], 0.257; 95% CI, 0.189-0.36) when compared with patients without NoV. Patients with diarrhea infected with NoV featured nausea and vomiting (P < 0.001; OR, 2.297, 95% CI, 1.85-2.86) and loose stools (P = 0.006; OR, 2.247; 95% CI, 1.30-4.10), but less abdominal cramping (P = 0.001; OR, 0.676; 95% CI, 0.54-0.84). Patients infected with RV (P < 0.001; OR, 0.413; 95% CI, 0.25-0.68) or bacteria (P < 0.001; OR, 0.422; 95% CI, 0.26-0.67) were more vulnerable to fever than those infected with NoV. A total of 379 GII strains were detected concomitant with 48 GI strains, and there was a seasonal difference between the GI and GII genotypes. Strengthening pathogen detection for infectious diarrhea was helpful for understanding the epidemiological characteristics of infections with NoV and, potentially, for preventing disease outbreaks.

Hospital-based norovirus surveillance in children <5 years of age from 2017 to 2019 in India.

After the introduction of the rotavirus vaccine into the Universal Immunization Program in India in 2016, relatively few studies have assessed the prevalence and epidemiological patterns of acute gastroenteritis (AGE) among hospitalized children ≤5 years of age. We used a uniform protocol to recruit children with AGE as well as standardized testing and typing protocols. Stool specimens from children with AGE younger than 5 years of age admitted to six hospitals in three cities in India were collected from January 2017 through December 2019. Norovirus was detected by real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) followed by typing positive specimens by conventional RT-PCR and Sanger sequencing. Norovirus was detected in 322 (14.8%) of 2182 specimens with the highest rate in 2018 (17.6%, 146/829), followed by 2019 (14.4%, 122/849) and 2017 (10.7%, 54/504). Rotavirus vaccine status was known for 91.6% of the children of which 70.4% were vaccinated and 29.6% not. Norovirus positivity in rotavirus-vaccinated children was 16.3% and 12% in unvaccinated children. GII.4 Sydney[P16] (39.3%), GII.4 Sydney[P31] (18.7%), GII.2[P16] (10%), GI.3[P13] (6.8%), GII.3[P16] (5.9%), and GII.13[P16] (5%) accounted for 85.8% (188/219) of the typed strains. Our data highlight the importance of norovirus in Indian children hospitalized with AGE.

Genomic Characterization and Molecular Evolution of Sapovirus in Children under 5 Years of Age.

Sapovirus (SaV) is a type of gastroenteric virus that can cause acute gastroenteritis. It is highly contagious, particularly among children under the age of 5. In this study, a total of 712 stool samples from children under the age of 5 with acute gastroenteritis were collected. Out of these samples, 28 tested positive for SaV, resulting in a detection rate of 3.93% (28/712). Samples with Ct < 30 were collected for library construction and high-throughput sequencing, resulting in the acquisition of nine complete genomes. According to Blast, eight of them were identified as GI.1, while the remaining one was GI.6. The GI.6 strain sequence reported in our study represents the first submission of the GI.6 strain complete genome sequence from mainland China to the Genbank database, thus filling the data gap in our country. Sequence identity analysis revealed significant nucleotide variations between the two genotypes of SaV and their corresponding prototype strains. Phylogenetic and genetic evolution analyses showed no evidence of recombination events in the obtained sequences. Population dynamics analysis demonstrated potential competitive inhibition between two lineages of GI.1. Our study provides insights into the molecular epidemiological and genetic evolution characteristics of SaV prevalent in the Nantong region of China, laying the foundation for disease prevention and control, as well as pathogen tracing related to SaV in this area.

Emergence of Novel Norovirus GII.4 Variant.

We detected a novel GII.4 variant with an amino acid insertion at the start of epitope A in viral protein 1 of noroviruses from the United States, Gabon, South Africa, and the United Kingdom collected during 2017-2022. Early identification of GII.4 variants is crucial for assessing pandemic potential and informing vaccine development.

Prediction of Foodborne Norovirus Outbreaks in Coastal Areas in China in 2008-2018.

Foodborne norovirus outbreak usually poses high risks in coastal areas in China. Owing to the influence of multiple climatic factors, it demonstrates typical seasonality and the hotspots gradually expanded northwards from 2008 to 2018. However, the complex mechanism of the onset of outbreaks makes accurate prediction difficult. Thus, it is in necessity to construct a predictive model for foodborne norovirus outbreaks in coastal areas based on environmental and geographical variables. A novel predictive nonlinear autoregressive model with exogenous inputs model was developed using 11 years of environmental and foodborne norovirus outbreak data collected from coastal areas in China. Five input variables (temperature, precipitation, elevation, latitude, and longitude) were screened through stepwise regression analysis. The predicted model developed in this study was able to reproduce 88.53% of outbreaks reported to the National Public Health Emergency Event Surveillance System (PHEESS) in the model development and 100% of outbreaks reported in the independent cross-validation since the system was first launched in China. In particular, foodborne norovirus outbreaks might occur when the probability is >0.6. The findings of this study suggest that foodborne norovirus outbreaks could be accurately predicted in coastal areas in China using the developed predictive model on a daily basis. The model output is most sensitive to temperature, followed by precipitation, and locations. The application of this predictive model is promising to improve local hygiene management levels, prevent foodborne norovirus outbreaks, and reduce the disease and economic costs in coastal areas in China.

Estimation of Norovirus infections in Japan: An application of wastewater-based epidemiology for enteric disease assessment.

Noroviruses of genogroup I (NoV GI) and NoV GII are the primary causes of acute gastroenteritis (AGE) in developed countries. However, asymptomatic and untested NoV infections lead to an underestimation of AGE cases, and the lack of mandatory viral identification in clinical cases hinders precise estimation of NoV infections. Back estimation of NoV infections in the community using a wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) approach can provide valuable insights into the disease's extent, progression, and epidemiology, aiding in developing effective control strategies. This study employed a one-step reverse transcription-quantitative PCR to quantify NoVs GI and GII in wastewater samples (n = 83) collected twice a week from June 2022 to March 2023 in Japan. All samples from the Winter-Spring (n = 27) tested positive for NoV GI and GII RNA, while 73 % and 88 % of samples from the Summer-Autumn (n = 56) were positive for NoV GI and NoV GII RNA, respectively. Significantly higher concentrations of NoV GI/GII RNA were found in the Winter-Spring season compared to the Summer-Autumn season. NoV RNA was consistently detected in wastewater throughout the year, demonstrating the persistence of AGE cases in the catchment, suggesting an endemic NoV infection. Estimates of NoV infection incorporated viral RNA concentrations, wastewater parameters, and signal persistence in a mass balance equation using Monte Carlo Simulation. The median estimated NoV GI infections per 100,000 population for Summer-Autumn was 133 and for the Winter-Spring season, it was 881. Estimated NoV GII infections were 1357 for Summer-Autumn and 11,997 for the Winter-Spring season per 100,000 population. The estimated NoV infections exceeded by 3.2 and 23.9 folds than the reported AGE cases in Summer-Autumn and Winter-Spring seasons, respectively. The seasonal trend of estimated NoV infections closely matched that of AGE cases, highlighting the utility of WBE in understanding the epidemiology of enteric infections.

Acute Gastroenteritis Associated with Norovirus GII.8[P8], Thailand, 2023.

Acute gastroenteritis associated with human norovirus infection was reported in Phuket, Thailand, in June 2023. We amplified GII.8[P8] from the outbreak stool specimens. Retrospective sample analysis identified infrequent GII.8[P8] in the country beginning in 2018. In all, the 10 whole-genome GII.8[P8] sequences from Thailand we examined had no evidence of genotypic recombination.

The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the incidence of acute gastroenteritis outbreaks in Catalonia (Spain).

We carried out a retrospective study of acute gastroenteritis (AGE) outbreaks reported between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2021 in Catalonia (Spain) to compare the incidence from 2015 to 2019 with that observed from 2020 to 2021. We observed a higher incidence rate of outbreaks during the prepandemic period (16.89 outbreaks/1,000,000 person-years) than during the pandemic period (6.96 outbreaks/1,000,000 person-years) (rate ratio (RR) 0.41; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.34 to 0.51). According to the aetiology of the outbreak, those of viral aetiology decreased from 7.82 to 3.38 outbreaks/1,000,000 person-years (RR 2.31; 95% CI 1.72 to 3.12), and those of bacterial aetiology decreased from 5.01 to 2.78 outbreaks/1,000,000 person-years (RR 1.80; 95% CI 1.29 to 2.52). There was a great reduction in AGE outbreaks in Catalonia. This reduction may have been due to the effect of the nonpharmaceutical measures applied to reduce the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), but the collapse of the healthcare system and epidemiological surveillance services may also have had a strong influence.